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The signature of low-frequency oceanic forcing in the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation
The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) significantly influences the climate of the surrounding continents and has previously been …
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Optimisation of an idealised ocean model: stochastic parametrisation of sud-grid eddies
An optimisation scheme is developed to accurately represent the sub-grid scale forcing of a high dimensional chaotic ocean system. …
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A Conceptual Model of Ocean Heat Uptake under Climate Change
A conceptual model of ocean heat uptake is developed as a multilayer generalization of Gnanadesikan. The roles of Southern Ocean Ekman …
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Toward a stochastic parameterization of ocean mesoscale eddies
A stochastic parameterization of ocean mesoscale eddies is constructed in order to account for the fluctuations in subgrid transport …
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Frequency Domain Multimodel Analysis of the Response of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to Surface Forcing
The dynamics of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) vary considerably among different climate models; for example, …
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Tide-surge adjoint modelling: a new technique to understand forecast uncertainty
For a simple dynamical system, such as a pendulum, it is easy to deduce where and when applied forcing might produce a particular …
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Singular vectors, predictability and ensemble forecasting for weather and climate
The local instabilities of a nonlinear dynamical system can be characterized by the leading singular vectors of its linearized …
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Forecast Skill and Predictability of Observed Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures
An empirical statistical model is constructed to assess the forecast skill and the linear predictability of Atlantic Ocean sea surface …
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Upper-ocean singular vectors of the North Atlantic climate with implications for linear predictability and variability
The limits of predictability of the meridional overturning circulation (MOC) and upper-ocean temperatures due to errors in ocean …
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Optimal Excitation of Interannual Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Variability
The optimal excitation of Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (MOC) anomalies is investigated in an ocean general circulation …
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