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Frequency Domain Multimodel Analysis of the Response of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to Surface Forcing
The dynamics of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) vary considerably among different climate models; for example, …
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Tide-surge adjoint modelling: a new technique to understand forecast uncertainty
For a simple dynamical system, such as a pendulum, it is easy to deduce where and when applied forcing might produce a particular …
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Singular vectors, predictability and ensemble forecasting for weather and climate
The local instabilities of a nonlinear dynamical system can be characterized by the leading singular vectors of its linearized …
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Forecast Skill and Predictability of Observed Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures
An empirical statistical model is constructed to assess the forecast skill and the linear predictability of Atlantic Ocean sea surface …
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Upper-ocean singular vectors of the North Atlantic climate with implications for linear predictability and variability
The limits of predictability of the meridional overturning circulation (MOC) and upper-ocean temperatures due to errors in ocean …
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Optimal Excitation of Interannual Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Variability
The optimal excitation of Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (MOC) anomalies is investigated in an ocean general circulation …
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The role of ocean dynamics in the optimal growth of tropical SST anomalies
The role of ocean dynamics in optimally exciting interannual variability of tropical sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies is …
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Optimal Surface Excitation of the Thermohaline Circulation
The amplification of thermohaline circulation (THC) anomalies resulting from heat and freshwater forcing at the ocean surface is …
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Nonnormal Thermohaline Circulation Dynamics in a Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere GCM
Using the GFDL coupled atmosphere–ocean general circulation model CM2.1, the transient amplification of thermohaline circulation (THC) …
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Nonnormal Amplification of the Thermohaline Circulation
A simple zonally averaged coupled ocean–atmosphere model, with a relatively high resolution in the meridional direction, is used to …
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