Calibration of a neural network ocean closure for improved mean state and variability

Abstract

Global ocean models exhibit biases in the mean state and variability, particularly at coarse resolution, where mesoscale eddies are unresolved. To address these biases, parameterization coefficients are typically tuned ad hoc. Here, we formulate parameter tuning as a calibration problem using Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EKI). We optimize parameters of a neural network parameterization of mesoscale eddies in two idealized ocean models at coarse resolution. The calibrated parameterization reduces errors by factors of 1.7-3.3 in the time-averaged fluid interfaces and their variability compared to the unparameterized model, depending on the metric and configuration. The EKI method is robust to noise in time-averaged statistics arising from chaotic ocean dynamics. Furthermore, we propose an efficient calibration protocol that bypasses integration to statistical equilibrium by carefully choosing an initial condition. These results demonstrate that systematic calibration can substantially improve coarse-resolution ocean simulations and provide a practical pathway for reducing biases in global ocean models.

Type
Publication
Arxiv
Pavel Perezhogin
Pavel Perezhogin
Postdoctoral researcher
Laure Zanna
Laure Zanna
Joseph B. Keller and Herbert B. Keller Professor in Applied Mathematics; Professor of Mathematics and Data Science

My research interests include Climate Dynamics, Physical Oceanography, Applied Math, Numerical Methods, and Data Science.