FloeNet: A mass-conserving global sea ice emulator that generalizes across climates

Abstract

We introduce FloeNet, a machine-learning emulator trained on the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory global sea ice model, SIS2. FloeNet is a mass-conserving model, emulating 6-hour mass and area budget tendencies related to sea ice and snow-on-sea-ice growth, melt, and advection. We train FloeNet using simulated data from a reanalysis-forced ice-ocean simulation and test its ability to generalize to pre-industrial control and 1% CO2 climates. FloeNet outperforms a non-conservative model at reproducing sea ice and snow-on-sea-ice mean state, trends, and inter-annual variability, with volume anomaly correlations above 0.96 in the Antarctic and 0.76 in the Arctic, across all forcings. FloeNet also produces the correct thermodynamic vs dynamic response to forcing, enabling physical interpretability of emulator output. Finally, we show that FloeNet outputs high-fidelity coupling-related variables, including ice-surface skin temperature, ice-to-ocean salt flux, and melting energy fluxes. We hypothesize that FloeNet will improve polar climate processes within existing atmosphere and ocean emulators.

Type
Publication
Arxiv
Adam Subel
Adam Subel
PhD Student

My research interests include distributed robotics, mobile computing and programmable matter.

Laure Zanna
Laure Zanna
Joseph B. Keller and Herbert B. Keller Professor in Applied Mathematics; Professor of Mathematics and Data Science

My research interests include Climate Dynamics, Physical Oceanography, Applied Math, Numerical Methods, and Data Science.